Ronald Bracewell |
In the future, we expect to be able solve these three broad classes of technological problem we haven't got a a handle on yet:
- Very large sensors that can remotely sense distant planets accurately enough to ascertain their habitability with a high confidence.
- The hosting of a human mind on a machine substrate - i.e. a truly intelligent machine. This implies that the state of a human mind could be captured - "uploaded" onto a machine and captured in a data set. In other words, we could completely define what we now call the "self" in terms of data. The crucial thing here (within an order of magnitude or so), is how much data. Let's say it's about an exabit compressed, or 10^18 bits. Some estimates are lower that, but I think we need lots of margin.
- Travel across interstellar distance, although the problems of doing so quickly ( a significant fraction of the speed of light and exploiting time dilation effects) may prove to be insurmountable no matter how sophisticated our technology is, and at present we have only the broadest concept of how to cheat the speed of light limit.
So, we would want to send only a small mass to another star system and it would take a long time and cost a lot of energy. However, we can transmit information far more cheaply and at the speed of light. You might need a really big and powerful transmitting array, but this is just scaling up from current technology. To transmit an exabit in a year you would need a transmission rate of about 30 gigabits per second - well within plausibility, even over interstellar distances. The size of the receiving antenna you would need on the other side would increase with the distance (roughly 100 meters on a side at 100 light years, given plausible assumptions about the transmitter, noise temperature and losses), but such antennas can be made from gossamer materials that can be folded compactly.